In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 50k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price!
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions stepping in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it’s a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between February and November 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That’s due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 50k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/FgLXtGEt-Bitcoin-Crash-to-50k-in-2026-Best-cycles-analysis/
